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ABSTRACT Detecting offshore earthquakes in real time is challenging for traditional land-based seismic networks due to insufficient station coverage. Application of distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) to submarine cables has the potential to extend the reach of seismic networks and thereby improve real-time earthquake detection and earthquake early warning (EEW). We present a complete workflow of a modified point-source EEW algorithm, which includes a machine-learning-based model for P- and S-wave phase picking, a grid-search location method, and a locally calibrated empirical magnitude estimation equation. Examples are shown with offshore earthquakes from the SeaFOAM DAS project using a 52-km-long submarine cable in Monterey Bay, California, demonstrating the robustness of the proposed workflow. When comparing to the current onshore network, we can expect up to 6 s additional warning time for earthquakes in the offshore San Gregorio fault zone, representing a substantial improvement to the existing ShakeAlert EEW system. 

SUMMARY A better understanding of damage accumulation before dynamic failure events in geological material is essential to improve seismic hazard assessment. Previous research has demonstrated the sensitivity of seismic velocities to variations in crack geometry, with established evidence indicating that initial crack closure induces rapid changes in velocity. Our study extends these findings by investigating velocity changes by applying coda wave interferometry (CWI). We use an array of 16 piezoceramic transducers to send and record ultrasonic pulses and to determine changes in seismic velocity on intact and faulted Westerly granite samples. Velocity changes are determined from CWI and direct phase arrivals. This study consists of three sets of experiments designed to characterize variations in seismic velocity under various initial and boundary conditions. The first set of experiments tracks velocity changes during hydrostatic compression from 2 and 191 MPa in intact Westerly granite samples. The second set of experiments focuses on saw-cut samples with different roughness and examines the effects of confining pressure increase from 2 to 120 MPa. The dynamic formation of a fracture and the preceding damage accumulation is the focus of the third type of experiment, during which we fractured an initially intact rock sample by increasing the differential stress up to 780 MPa while keeping the sample confined at 75 MPa. The tests show that: (i) The velocity change for rough saw cut samples suggests that the changes in bulk material properties have a more pronounced influence than fault surface apertures or roughness. (ii) Seismic velocities demonstrate higher sensitivity to damage accumulation under increasing differential stress than macroscopic measurements. Axial stress measured by an external load cell deviates from linearity around two-third through the experiment at a stress level of 290 MPa higher than during the initial drop in seismic velocities. (iii) Direct waves exhibit strong anisotropy with increasing differential stress and accumulating damage before rock fracture. Coda waves, on the other hand, effectively average over elastic wave propagation for both fast and slow directions, and the resulting velocity estimates show little evidence for anisotropy. The results demonstrate the sensitivity of seismic velocity to damage evolution at various boundary conditions and progressive microcrack generation with long lead times before dynamic fracture. 

ABSTRACT We present initial findings from the ongoing Community Stress Drop Validation Study to compare spectral stress-drop estimates for earthquakes in the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, sequence. This study uses a unified dataset to independently estimate earthquake source parameters through various methods. Stress drop, which denotes the change in average shear stress along a fault during earthquake rupture, is a critical parameter in earthquake science, impacting ground motion, rupture simulation, and source physics. Spectral stress drop is commonly derived by fitting the amplitude-spectrum shape, but estimates can vary substantially across studies for individual earthquakes. Sponsored jointly by the U.S. Geological Survey and the Statewide (previously, Southern) California Earthquake Center our community study aims to elucidate sources of variability and uncertainty in earthquake spectral stress-drop estimates through quantitative comparison of submitted results from independent analyses. The dataset includes nearly 13,000 earthquakes ranging from M 1 to 7 during a two-week period of the 2019 Ridgecrest sequence, recorded within a 1° radius. In this article, we report on 56 unique submissions received from 20 different groups, detailing spectral corner frequencies (or source durations), moment magnitudes, and estimated spectral stress drops. Methods employed encompass spectral ratio analysis, spectral decomposition and inversion, finite-fault modeling, ground-motion-based approaches, and combined methods. Initial analysis reveals significant scatter across submitted spectral stress drops spanning over six orders of magnitude. However, we can identify between-method trends and offsets within the data to mitigate this variability. Averaging submissions for a prioritized subset of 56 events shows reduced variability of spectral stress drop, indicating overall consistency in recovered spectral stress-drop values. 

Abstract Distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) is being explored in a variety of environments as a promising technology for the recording of seismic signals in dense array configurations. There is a particular interest for deploying DAS arrays on the ocean floor, presenting formidable challenges for conventional seismology. Taking advantage of the availability of a dark fiber on the Monterey Bay Accelerated Research System (MARS) 52 km offshore cable at Monterey Bay, California, in July 2022, we installed a DAS interrogator at the shore end of the cable with the intention of acquiring continuous data for a period of one year. Here, we describe the experiment and present examples of observations over the first six months of the deployment. 

Climate change is increasingly predisposing polar regions to large landslides. Tsunamigenic landslides have occurred recently in Greenland (Kalaallit Nunaat), but none have been reported from the eastern fjords. In September 2023, we detected the start of a 9-day-long, global 10.88-millihertz (92-second) monochromatic very-long-period (VLP) seismic signal, originating from East Greenland. In this study, we demonstrate how this event started with a glacial thinning–induced rock-ice avalanche of 25 × 10⁶cubic meters plunging into Dickson Fjord, triggering a 200-meter-high tsunami. Simulations show that the tsunami stabilized into a 7-meter-high long-duration seiche with a frequency (11.45 millihertz) and slow amplitude decay that were nearly identical to the seismic signal. An oscillating, fjord-transverse single force with a maximum amplitude of 5 × 10¹¹newtons reproduced the seismic amplitudes and their radiation pattern relative to the fjord, demonstrating how a seiche directly caused the 9-day-long seismic signal. Our findings highlight how climate change is causing cascading, hazardous feedbacks between the cryosphere, hydrosphere, and lithosphere. 

ABSTRACT The 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence culminated in the largest seismic event in California since the 1999 Mw 7.1 Hector Mine earthquake. Here, we combine geodetic and seismic data to study the rupture process of both the 4 July Mw 6.4 foreshock and the 6 July Mw 7.1 mainshock. The results show that the Mw 6.4 foreshock rupture started on a northwest-striking right-lateral fault, and then continued on a southwest-striking fault with mainly left-lateral slip. Although most moment release during the Mw 6.4 foreshock was along the southwest-striking fault, slip on the northwest-striking fault seems to have played a more important role in triggering the Mw 7.1 mainshock that happened ∼34  hr later. Rupture of the Mw 7.1 mainshock was characterized by dominantly right-lateral slip on a series of overall northwest-striking fault strands, including the one that had already been activated during the nucleation of the Mw 6.4 foreshock. The maximum slip of the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake was ∼5  m, located at a depth range of 3–8 km near the Mw 7.1 epicenter, corresponding to a shallow slip deficit of ∼20%–30%. Both the foreshock and mainshock had a relatively low-rupture velocity of ∼2  km/s, which is possibly related to the geometric complexity and immaturity of the eastern California shear zone faults. The 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake produced significant stress perturbations on nearby fault networks, especially along the Garlock fault segment immediately southwest of the 2019 Ridgecrest rupture, in which the coulomb stress increase was up to ∼0.5  MPa. Despite the good coverage of both geodetic and seismic observations, published coseismic slip models of the 2019 Ridgecrest earthquake sequence show large variations, which highlight the uncertainty of routinely performed earthquake rupture inversions and their interpretation for underlying rupture processes.